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Suzano + Pulp and Paper Primer
The Brazilian hardwood pulp leader at a cyclical cross roads
Feb 15
14
1
3
Suzano + Pulp and Paper Primer Annex
This Annex for the Suzano + Pulp and Paper Primer contains additional information valuable for readers who want to double-click on specific factors in…
Feb 15
2
US Trucking Primer II : Truckload Carriers Overview
Continuing the analysis of the trucking industry and cycle from two weeks ago, this article provides an overview of the truckload carrier segment.
Feb 1
8
2
January 2026
US Trucking Primer I: Cycle basics
Death on the Ridge Road - Grant Wood - 1935 (Wikimedia)
Jan 18
15
1
1
4Q25 Portfolio Review
After every quarter, I provide a review of the performance and positions of my two personal accounts (IBKR and Argentina).
Jan 4
11
2
1
December 2025
Lithium majors: an asset by asset profitability analysis
Disentangling the operations of Ganfeng, Tianqi, Albemarle, and SQM asset by asset for different long-term lithium price scenarios.
Dec 21, 2025
7
2
1
Lithium review - 4Q25
Sentiment changes from glut to shortage, does it have any battery left?
Dec 7, 2025
9
4
2
November 2025
Capital-spread businesses: the Localiza example
As part of a review of Brazilian names, I studied a vehicle-renting company called Localiza, recommended by some readers.
Nov 23, 2025
4
1
Olefins Primer III - LyondellBasell & Dow
American olefin pure-plays: capital allocation, markets, competitiveness, liquidity and scenarios.
Nov 9, 2025
24
1
2
October 2025
Olefins II: Big Oil & China, the cycle disruptors
How the search for markets for a post-gasoline world disrupts the olefins cycle.
Oct 26, 2025
18
4
3
3Q25 portfolio review
After every quarter, I provide a review of the performance and positions of my two personal accounts (IBKR and Argentina).
Oct 11, 2025
5
2
2
September 2025
Brazil monetary and credit cycle review
Interest rates, money supply, credit growth, NPLs, and credit exposures by bank
Sep 27, 2025
8
5
2
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