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A Framework For The Cyclical Industries
How to understand, model and find opportunities among the cyclicals.
Nov 2, 2024
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A Framework For The Cyclical Industries
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7
China’s Model: Doomsday or Escape Velocity?
Rethinking the Chinese investment-led model from the basics of business cycle theory.
Sep 15, 2024
17

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China’s Model: Doomsday or Escape Velocity?
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4
Footwear primer (and US companies)
Fallen angels, compounders, nosebleed growth, and deep value in the realm of shoes.
Sep 8, 2024
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Footwear primer (and US companies)
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2
A Basic Framework for Growth Stocks and Industries.
Tools for dealing with high multiples, uncertainty, and qualitative data.
Dec 7, 2024
11

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A Basic Framework for Growth Stocks and Industries.
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6
Trade and Capital at the Crossroads of War
Global imbalances and the forces that may soon reshape them
Apr 6
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Trade and Capital at the Crossroads of War
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4
Chemical Series I: Intro to Chemicals
Basic segmentation, economics, sub-industries and players of the most fundamental and violently cyclical industry.
Mar 30
13

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Chemical Series I: Intro to Chemicals
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1
Brazilian Banks Primer
A guide to the Brazilian banking sector, with industry characteristics, analysis of incumbents vs digital bank competition, and analysis valuation
Jun 29, 2024
14

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Brazilian Banks Primer
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IT Sector Overview
A basic presentation of the fastest growing sector in the economy.
Dec 29, 2024
9

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IT Sector Overview
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2
Brazil Capital Markets Primer
Stock exchanges, investment banks, insurers and payment processors.
Nov 16, 2024
9

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Brazil Capital Markets Primer
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1
XP: the leading Brazilian retail broker
A 20-page primer on one of the companies best positioned to capture a Brazilian equities recovery.
Feb 2
9

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XP: the leading Brazilian retail broker
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1
Lithium primer
Economics, cycle dynamics, players and plays of the white oil.
Feb 23
8

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Lithium primer
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6
Show me the money!
Exhibiting my past performance and current portfolio holdings, expect one quarterly update!
Oct 6, 2024
7

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Show me the money!
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