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Lithium review - 4Q25
Sentiment changes from glut to shortage, does it have any battery left?
Dec 7
6
3
2
November 2025
Capital-spread businesses: the Localiza example
As part of a review of Brazilian names, I studied a vehicle-renting company called Localiza, recommended by some readers.
Nov 23
3
1
Olefins Primer III - LyondellBasell & Dow
American olefin pure-plays: capital allocation, markets, competitiveness, liquidity and scenarios.
Nov 9
23
2
October 2025
Olefins II: Big Oil & China, the cycle disruptors
How the search for markets for a post-gasoline world disrupts the olefins cycle.
Oct 26
18
4
3
3Q25 portfolio review
After every quarter, I provide a review of the performance and positions of my two personal accounts (IBKR and Argentina).
Oct 11
5
2
2
September 2025
Brazil monetary and credit cycle review
Interest rates, money supply, credit growth, NPLs, and credit exposures by bank
Sep 27
8
5
2
Olefins Primer Series 1: Intro
15-page dive into the heart of the Chemicals industry
Sep 13
14
3
2
August 2025
Four Japanese Chemical Small Caps
Growth, margin, yield and balance sheet in 深值国
Aug 31
10
2
1
3 Cheap Chinese Chemicals
Potential quality and certain deep value in Chinese specialty chemicals
Aug 17
15
2
US deficits: much more than manufacturing
Analyzing the exposure of the US to its own trade deficits, going well beyong manufacturing and jobs, into credit, demand and productivity.
Aug 3
14
1
4
July 2025
Salmon industry update
Recapping the cycle and developments of the most profitable fish in the sea.
Jul 20
13
1
2Q25 Portfolio Review
After every quarter, I provide a review of the performance and positions of my two personal accounts (IBKR and Argentina).
Jul 6
5
1
1
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