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Brazil Leveraged Names Overview
Analyzing 10 plus companies at the edge of financial breakeven that will benefit from lower rates.
Mar 8
8
1
Brazil Leveraged Names Overview Annex: Derivatives accounting and the upcoming IPCA swap revaluation
A double-click on specific aspects of derivatives and hedge accounting
Mar 8
February 2026
Suzano + Pulp and Paper Primer
The Brazilian hardwood pulp leader at a cyclical cross roads
Feb 15
15
1
3
Suzano + Pulp and Paper Primer Annex
Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in the Blog are for general informational purposes only and are not intended to provide specific advice or…
Feb 15
2
US Trucking Primer II : Truckload Carriers Overview
Continuing the analysis of the trucking industry and cycle from two weeks ago, this article provides an overview of the truckload carrier segment.
Feb 1
8
2
January 2026
US Trucking Primer I: Cycle basics
Death on the Ridge Road - Grant Wood - 1935 (Wikimedia)
Jan 18
15
1
1
4Q25 Portfolio Review
After every quarter, I provide a review of the performance and positions of my two personal accounts (IBKR and Argentina).
Jan 4
11
1
1
December 2025
Lithium majors: an asset by asset profitability analysis
Disentangling the operations of Ganfeng, Tianqi, Albemarle, and SQM asset by asset for different long-term lithium price scenarios.
Dec 21, 2025
7
1
1
Lithium review - 4Q25
Sentiment changes from glut to shortage, does it have any battery left?
Dec 7, 2025
9
3
2
November 2025
Capital-spread businesses: the Localiza example
As part of a review of Brazilian names, I studied a vehicle-renting company called Localiza, recommended by some readers.
Nov 23, 2025
5
1
Olefins Primer III - LyondellBasell & Dow
American olefin pure-plays: capital allocation, markets, competitiveness, liquidity and scenarios.
Nov 9, 2025
26
1
4
October 2025
Olefins II: Big Oil & China, the cycle disruptors
How the search for markets for a post-gasoline world disrupts the olefins cycle.
Oct 26, 2025
20
4
3
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